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Market Risk Classifier · Institutional Research

Research BriefsMarket Risk Classifier

Technical documentation and analysis of the Market Risk Classifier (MRC) for institutional risk teams, portfolio managers, and quantitative researchers.

Crisis Detection

The Crisis Classification Brief

Quantitative analysis of Crisis classification methodology, historical performance metrics (2012-2024), and lead time documentation for major market stress episodes.

Crisis precision: 92.31% · 12/13 episodes (1990-2025, engine-scored backtest)

Institutional Data Product

The Data Buyer Brief

Full product overview for institutional data buyers: data schema, delivery format, licensing terms, precision by state (2012-2024 backtest), and the live Iran Crisis 2026 out-of-sample proof. Pilot path included.

Live OOS: Iran Crisis 2026 · Complete stress cycle, start-to-finish

Hedge Cost Optimization

The Stability Dividend Brief

Analysis of hedge cost reduction opportunities during STABLE classification (~21% baseline; 35.6% in 2025 OOS). Includes illustrative savings framework and cost-neutral architecture.

88.6% of trading days classified STABLE (2012-2024)

Strategy Sizing Overlay

The Strategy Integration Brief

How MRC plugs into five strategy archetypes as a daily sizing overlay: hedging & portfolio protection, trend & systematic macro, vol selling, tail funds & long volatility, and multi-factor & smart beta. The one rule and the historical effect for each, 1990-2025 walk-forward.

Five archetypes · 1990-2025 walk-forward · Reproducible on your book

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Historical backtest data (2012-2024). Research use only. Not investment advice. Past performance ≠ future results. Full terms

Research use only. Not investment advice. Past performance ≠ future results. Mindforge is not a registered investment adviser. Full terms · Methods