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Market State Detector · Institutional Research

Research BriefsMarket State Detector

Technical documentation and analysis of the Market State Detector (MSD) for institutional risk teams, portfolio managers, and quantitative researchers.

Crisis Detection

The Crisis Classification Brief

Quantitative analysis of Systemic Stress State classification methodology, historical performance metrics (2012-2024), and lead time documentation for major market stress episodes.

Systemic Stress precision: 100.00% · 9/9 episodes (2012–2024 backtest)

Institutional Data Product

The Data Buyer Brief

Full product overview for institutional data buyers: data schema, delivery format, licensing terms, precision by state (2012-2024 backtest), and the live Iran Crisis 2026 out-of-sample proof. Pilot path included.

Live OOS: Iran Crisis 2026 · Complete stress cycle, start-to-finish

Hedge Cost Optimization

The Calm Dividend Brief

Analysis of hedge cost reduction opportunities during Calm State classification (~21% baseline; 35.6% in 2025 OOS). Includes illustrative savings framework and cost-neutral architecture.

71% of trading days historically classified Calm (2012-2024)

Strategy Sizing Overlay

The Strategy Integration Brief

How MSD plugs into five strategy archetypes as a daily sizing overlay: hedging & portfolio protection, trend & systematic macro, vol selling, tail funds & long volatility, and multi-factor & smart beta. The one rule and the historical effect for each, 2012–2024 walk-forward.

Five archetypes · 2012–2024 walk-forward · Reproducible on your book

Need Custom Analysis?

Contact our research team for institutional-specific analysis, integration support, or custom reporting.

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Historical backtest data (2012-2024). Research use only. Not investment advice. Past performance ≠ future results. Full terms

Research use only. Not investment advice. Past performance ≠ future results. Mindforge is not a registered investment adviser. Full terms · Methods