Mindforge Intelligence

Documentation

Two research systems: Market Risk Classifier for US equity regime classification, Space Weather Early Warning for satellite and infrastructure risk. Pick a starting point below or jump to a system section.

1. Start Here

Three common entry points. Each links to the document that answers the next question for your role.

Evaluator

Evaluating MRC

New to the Market Risk Classifier. Want to understand what it does, see the validated risk states, and run a pilot.

Start with the walkthrough →

Data Buyer

Data buyer / quant fund

Need institutional research, validated precision, and out-of-sample proof before sourcing the signal.

Read the research briefs →

Developer

Developer integrating

Wiring MRC classifications into a system. Need API contracts, webhook signing, and delivery guarantees.

See API & webhooks →

2. Market Risk Classifier (MRC)

Daily classification of US equity market regime. Six risk states, validated precision, event-driven Event Risk Briefs. Classifying unseen data since January 2025.

2.1 Core

Title	Type	Description
Getting Started	Guide	Pilot access, daily alerts, API integration, and historical backtesting walkthrough.
Risk States ReferenceRisk States	Reference	Complete reference for all risk states: characteristics, precision metrics, Event Risk Briefs, and use cases.
Event Risk Briefs	Archive	Event-driven briefings issued when market conditions test the daily classification. Numbered track record with outcomes.
Strategy Integration	Guide	Five strategy archetypes showing how MRC classifications integrate with institutional portfolio workflows.
Research Briefs	Briefs	Escalation Record, Data Buyer, and Whipsaw Record analyses. Backtest plus live out-of-sample proof.

2.2 Methodology

Title	Type	Description
Scientific Foundation	Whitepaper	Published research on geomagnetic-market correlations and environmental indicators.
Validation & Methods	Methodology	Walk-forward protocol, backtesting framework, and statistical methodology.

2.3 Case Studies

Title	Type	Description
August 2024 Carry Trade Unwind	Case Study	Shock classification during the August 5 carry trade unwind.
COVID 2020	Case Study	Classification path through the February-March 2020 crisis.
Feb-Mar 2026 Stress Cycle	Case Study	Two-sided regime call: off Stable before VIX moved, back to Stable before SPX confirmed.
Volmageddon 2018	Case Study	Volatility regime classification through the February 2018 short-vol unwind.
CRISIS Episode History	Record	All 36 CRISIS episodes from 1990 to 2024, each marked right or wrong.

2.4 Developers

Title	Type	Description
API & Webhooks	API	Push delivery, signing key, retry semantics, and wire format.

3. Space Weather Early Warning (SEWS)

Space weather risk classification for satellite operations and critical infrastructure protection.

3.1 Core

Title	Type	Description
Overview	Research	What SEWS classifies, who uses it, and the operational footprint.
Live Status	Dashboard	Real-time space weather risk outlook and current environmental conditions.
Technical Documentation	Reference	Event states, risk levels, and integration guidance for operators.

3.2 Case Studies

Title	Type	Description
Gannon Storm 2024	Case Study	May 2024 G5 geomagnetic storm classification and Forbush Decrease behavior.

3.3 Research

Title	Type	Description
Space Weather in Institutional Risk	Research	How environmental factors correlate with market behavior and risk regimes.
Healthcare Demand Forecasting	Research	Research on environmental factors and healthcare demand patterns.
Real-Time Monitor	Tool	Live solar activity, geomagnetic indices, and upstream environmental indicators.

4. Data Integrity

All performance metrics are cryptographically verified against the Mindforge verified data system. Episode dates, hit counts, and precision values are locked and auditable. No manual overrides or approximated values are permitted.

SC25 LIVE v1.42024 AUDIT VERIFIED

Market Risk Classifier and related services are for research and informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, or trading advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Mindforge is not a registered investment adviser. See full terms at mindforge.tech/terms.

Risk States Reference Request Pilot