Documentation

Two products: Market State Detector for US equity regime classification, Space Weather Early Warning for satellite and infrastructure risk. Pick a persona below or jump straight to a product.

Start Here

Three common entry points. Each links straight to the doc that answers the next question.

Persona

Evaluating MSD

New to the Market State Detector. Want to understand what it does, see the validated states, and run a pilot.

Start with the walkthrough

Persona

Data buyer / quant fund

Need institutional research, validated precision, and out-of-sample proof before sourcing the signal.

Read the research briefs

Persona

Developer integrating

Wiring MSD classifications into a system. Need API contracts, webhook signing, and delivery guarantees.

See API & webhooks

Market State Detector (MSD)

Daily classification of US equity market regime. Five states, validated precision, out-of-sample live since January 2025.

Getting Started

Guide

Pilot access, daily alerts, API integration, and historical backtesting walkthrough.

States Reference

Reference

Complete reference for all 5 market states: characteristics, precision metrics, and use cases.

Research Briefs

Briefs

Crisis Classification, Data Buyer, and Calm Dividend analyses. Backtest plus live out-of-sample proof.

Methodology

Scientific Foundation

Whitepaper

Published research on geomagnetic-market correlations and environmental indicators.

Validation & Methods

Methodology

Walk-forward protocol, backtesting framework, and statistical methodology.

Case Studies

August 2024 Carry Trade Unwind

Case Study

Volatility Spike classification during the August 5 carry trade unwind.

COVID 2020

Case Study

Classification path through the February-March 2020 crisis.

Feb-Mar 2026 Stress Cycle

Case Study

Two-sided regime call: off Calm before VIX moved, back to Calm before SPX confirmed.

Volmageddon 2018

Case Study

Volatility regime classification through the February 2018 short-vol unwind.

Concept Explainers

Reducing False Positives

Topic

How MSD reduces false positives versus simple VIX thresholds.

Tail Risk Classification

Topic

Classification behavior during extreme market dislocations.

Market Regime Classification

Topic

Framework for understanding market regime transitions and inflection points.

Developers

API & Webhooks

API

Push delivery, signing key, retry semantics, and wire format.

Space Weather Early Warning (SEWS)

Space weather risk classification for satellite operations and critical infrastructure protection.

Overview

Product

What SEWS classifies, who uses it, and the operational footprint.

Live Status

Dashboard

Real-time space weather risk outlook and current environmental conditions.

Technical Documentation

Reference

Event states, risk levels, and integration guidance for operators.

Case Studies

Gannon Storm 2024

Case Study

May 2024 G5 geomagnetic storm classification and Forbush Decrease behavior.

Research

Space Weather in Institutional Risk

Research

How environmental factors correlate with market behavior and risk regimes.

Healthcare Demand Forecasting

Research

Research on environmental factors and healthcare demand patterns.

Real-Time Monitor

Tool

Live solar activity, geomagnetic indices, and upstream environmental indicators.

Data Integrity

All performance metrics are cryptographically verified against our verified data system. Episode dates, hit counts, and precision values are locked and auditable. No manual overrides or approximated values are permitted.

Research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SC25 LIVE v1.4

2024 AUDIT VERIFIED