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Market State Detector · Situation Report Archive

Reports on file: 14Live report →
All Situation ReportsNEWEST FIRST · EACH AT ITS PERMANENT URL

Every numbered situation is preserved here with its outcome — including the ones that resolved quietly.

A report is written the morning a situation opens, updates daily while it is open, and is frozen when it closes.

2026-06-10OPEN
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
↳ The same condition re-triggered one session after No. 004 of 2026 closed
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 26% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 005 of 2026 →
2026-06-08SCORINGCLOSED 2026-06-09
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 40% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 004 of 2026 →
2026-03-03✓ Calm heldCLOSED 2026-03-31
CALM RESTORED
CALM is back in effect. The system stood down from a TURNING episode before the open.
No. 003 of 2026 →
2026-02-06✓ The scare fadedCLOSED 2026-02-09
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 29% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 002 of 2026 →
2026-01-21✓ The scare fadedCLOSED 2026-01-22
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 33% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 001 of 2026 →
2025-11-18✓ Calm heldCLOSED 2025-11-28
CALM RESTORED
CALM is back in effect. The system stood down from a STRESS episode before the open.
No. 009 of 2025 →
2025-10-16✓ The scare fadedCLOSED 2025-10-20
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
↳ The same condition re-triggered one session after No. 007 of 2025 closed
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 54% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 008 of 2025 →
2025-10-13✓ The scare fadedCLOSED 2025-10-14
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 30% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 007 of 2025 →
2025-08-04✓ The scare fadedCLOSED 2025-08-05
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 36% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 006 of 2025 →
2025-06-18✓ The scare fadedCLOSED 2025-06-20
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 27% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 005 of 2025 →
2025-05-27✓ The scare fadedCLOSED 2025-05-28
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 29% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 004 of 2025 →
2025-04-01✓ Calm heldCLOSED 2025-05-01
CALM RESTORED
CALM is back in effect. The system stood down from a TURNING episode before the open.
No. 003 of 2025 →
2025-03-04✓ Escalated within daysCLOSED 2025-03-18
DRAWDOWN VS. CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM is in effect this morning. The S&P 500 is down 5.3% over 10 sessions.
No. 002 of 2025 →
2025-02-25✓ Escalated within daysCLOSED 2025-03-03
VIX/CALM DIVERGENCE
CALM remains in effect. VIX is up 35% in five sessions; the call has not moved.
No. 001 of 2025 →

Historical reports — history, not a forecast. Past classifications do not guarantee future accuracy. Research use only. Mindforge is not a registered investment adviser. Full terms: mindforge.tech/terms · Methodology: mindforge.tech/validation-and-methods

Research use only. Not investment advice. Past performance ≠ future results. Mindforge is not a registered investment adviser. Full terms · Methods