Mindforge saw stability return first in 68 of 75 stress episodes.
Typically 45 trading days before VIX dropped below 20.
Read the call and what followed.
Mindforge called stability back before VIX showed it.
You saw stability return about 45 trading days before VIX showed it.
Trading days sooner than VIX, episode by episode
Show the proof: 32 recoveries, call by call
- 59 held up
- 16 fell 3% or more
The S&P 500 while you waited
before VIX caught up
- 21 higher by the time VIX caught up
- 11 lower by the time VIX caught up
Typical head start over each market signal
Historical record, not a projection. Moves are S&P 500 closes against the call's prior-session close, before trading costs.
Mindforge held STABLE through 114 VIX scares.
A VIX spike is not always a real escalation. Mindforge held STABLE through 114 of them, and 108 faded afterwards.
- 108 faded
- 6 later turned dangerous
Show the proof: the latest hold and the latest escalation
A WHIPSAW report can add context when visible market volatility and the STABLE base classification diverge.
From 1990 to 2024, Mindforge warned less often and was wrong less often than VIX-only rules.
Fewer warnings to sort through, and fewer of them wrong.
Warnings raised from 1990 to 2024, and how many were wrong
Mindforge against VIX-only rules
Historical backtested performance, 1990 through 2024. Not investment advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.
Every Event Risk Brief is marked on the S&P 500 from 2025 to now.
Every Event Risk Brief is dated and kept, so you can check what Mindforge said against what the market did before you commit to anything.
Scroll the chart sideways and tap a ▲ or a green ◆ (the recovery) to open that brief.
Every morning Mindforge publishes one of five risk states.
A single, rules-based market state classification delivered pre-market to anchor the morning risk discussion.